Wednesday, April 16, 2008

Iran and the West// Iran and its Neighborhood: Syria and Lebanon

(Thanks LKR)

Security for a New Century 110th Congress

Iran and the West

When: Friday, April 11 at 10:00 a.m.
Where: U.S. Capitol Building, Room SC-4

Ambassador John W. Limbert (ret.), distinguished professor of international affairs at the U.S. Naval Academy, will join us for a discussion on the history and context of the relationship between Iran and the West. Iran has a complex history with the West derived in part from its Persian heritage, its role as a regional power and its perceived weakness in the face of Western ambitions and intervention. U.S. relations with Iran have been dominated by the legacy of the Islamic revolution, U.S. support for the Shah, and the U.S. hostage crisis. How do historic grievances influence the dynamic political relationship today? Does Iran's history affect Iranian attitudes towards the international community? How do Iranians perceive their role in Iraq and across the Gulf?

"Security for a New Century" is a bipartisan study group for Congress. We meet regularly with U.S. and international policy professionals to discuss the post-Cold War and post-9/11 security environment. This briefing is part of the US and Iran series in partnership with the US Institute of Peace. All discussions are off-the-record. It is not an advocacy venue. Please call 224-7560 for more information or write Geneve_mantri@lugar.senate.gov

Iran and its Neighborhood: Syria and Lebanon

When: April 23 at 11:00 am
Where: TBD

Emile El-Hokayem, The Henry L. Stimson Center, Research Fellow, Southwest Asia/Gulf program,

Andrew Tabler, Institute of Current World Affairs, Syria Today magazine

Brothers in Arms? Engaging the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt

IPPR, a British think tank looks at the heated debate (quite in fashion) among policymakers on whether to "engage" the MBs... here

Survey: Nasrallah is the most admired leader in the Arab world

"Hezbollah chief Sheikh Nassan Nasrallah is the most admired leader in the Arab world, according to a poll released recently by the Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development at the University of Maryland. ..."

Netanyahu: "Israel benefitted from 9/11"

In Maariv via FP/Blog, here ..............."The Israeli newspaper Ma'ariv on Wednesday reported that Likud leader Benjamin Netanyahu told an audience at Bar Ilan university that the September 11, 2001 terror attacks had been beneficial for Israel."We are benefiting from one thing, and that is the attack on the Twin Towers and Pentagon, and the American struggle in Iraq," Ma'ariv quoted the former prime minister as saying. He reportedly added that these events "swung American public opinion in our favor."

Heavy Israeli casualties in Gaza ...

Here & here

Archive photo: AFP

McCain: It will be hard to convince Americans to go to war against Iran

Reuters, via YNetnews, here
"There's a .. credibility gap," he said, referring to President George W. Bush, who justified the 2003 invasion of Iraq by saying it possessed weapons of mass destruction. .."

Iraqi Unit Flees Post, Despite American’s Plea

Michael Gordon in the NYTimes, here
"...Captain Veath’s pleas failed, and senior American and Iraqi commanders mounted an urgent effort to regain the lost ground. An elite Iraqi unit was rushed in and with the support of the Americans began to fight its way north...."

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Damascus has sufficient material & political resources to withstand external pressures, has no intention of being rushed into a settlement in Lebanon.

Oxford Analytica, via SyriaComment, here

EGYPT: More short-term violence likely, economic reform to slow

EURASIA Group/ Note
11 April, 2008 10:37 AM EDT

The pattern of violence spurred by sharp food price inflation and bread shortages will likely continue in the next few months. The violence will not be organized by a particular political party and will not threaten the government, but Prime Minister Ahmad Nazif and his economic reform team will be weakened. President Hosni Mubarak's old school confidantes will take the lead on policies, and economic reform will take a back seat to stability considerations.

As Eurasia Group predicted in a 19 March note, violence broke out in the days leading up to the 8 April local municipal elections, which coincided with growing popular discontent over rising food prices. The government appears to have been prepared for violence and has taken several steps to blunt the force of popular anger. Mubarak ordered the army to assist with bread production and distribution. Authorities also banned rice exports for six months, and government spokespersons have gone on a public relations blitz to show that they are responding to the crisis. This may reduce violence, but the government's options may ultimately be limited given current global economic conditions, which escape its control.

While international media coverage has focused on street violence, the government still has the upper hand as no opposition party or organized movement has thus far succeeded in exploiting the situation. Unknown forces called for a general strike to take place on 6 April, but it never really materialized on a large scale. Of course, there have been violent clashes between authorities and demonstrators, most notably in Mahalla El Kobra, a northern Nile Delta town which is the site of the largest government-owned textile factory. In Mahalla, laborers were demonstrating against high food costs but were also striking for better wages and bonuses. Fearing the spread of similar demonstrations, Nazif and other ministers visited the factory and agreed to many of the workers' demands. Other small-scale labor strikes will likely occur in the country, and the government is expected to respond with mixture of violence and limited financial accommodation- even if it pressures the government's budget.

Some opposition movements -excluding the Muslim Brotherhood- are still planning to stage anti-government demonstrations, which will continue to stress that the government is more sympathetic to foreign investors than to the average Egyptian. And while many Egyptians share their criticisms, these opponents will not be able to orchestrate mass demonstrations that can really destabilize the regime or force a radical change in government policies. The security forces are already bracing themselves for the second attempt at a general strike on 4 May, which coincides with Mubarak's 80th birthday. Authorities have already detained George Ishak, former head of the Kifaya (Enough) movement, as well as dozens of other activists. Other activists suspected of preparing protests will likely be arrested.

In the medium term, violence will likely be sporadic over the coming months. It will generate international headlines and trigger comparisons to the 1977 bread riots. Although the implementation of economic reforms will be slower going forward, a complete reversal in policy is to be excluded in the short term.

A Palestinian Civil War in Lebanon?

A Lee Butters, in TIME, here
".... Abbas sent Zaki to Lebanon three years ago in order to clean up Sultan’s mess. Conditions inside Palestinian camps in Lebanon are miserable, in large part because of institutionalized discrimination by the Lebanese, but also because of corruption among Palestinian leaders. But Sultan reportedly has allies of his own: notably the intelligence agencies of pro-American Sunni Muslim Arab countries such Saudi Arabia and Egypt, according to Lebanese newspapers. These countries might have an interest in supporting Sunni Palestinian militants as a possible counter-balance to Hizballah,..."

US DCM Sisson inspects ISF graduates with Achraf Rifi

Syrian buyers inspect Russian air defense system

Reuters/Haaretz ticker

Obama Would "Immediately Review" Potential Of Crimes In Bush WH

In the Huffington Post, here and Rumsfeld's memoirs "to be published in 2010", from AP, here

"How Anbar was awakened..."

Via World Politics Review, an operational details of how Anbar was Awakened, ... this Military Review article
"....Two things, inextricably related, remain to be seen about the Awakening approach, namely whether it will prove durable, and how it fits into a broader national strategy of knitting together Iraq's moving parts...."

New “Pro Israel, Pro Peace” Political Group Launches: JStreet Hopes to Prod Washington MidEast Policy Towards Center

Laura Rosen in MoJo, here
"...One of JStreet’s Israeli organizers in Washington, former Israeli peace negotiator Daniel Levy, says Israeli leaders need pressure from Washington to have domestic cover to make concessions that could contribute to the peace process. “I think there comes a point when, if the Israeli leadership actually wants to see this thing resolved, it’s clearly easier to say yes to the president of the United States, rather than to the [Palestinian Liberation Organization],” Levy told me. “You need to have to have the president of the United States to help carry you there.”

Arab world sees U.S. in poor light, poll shows

Reuters/Africa, here
"....83 percent had an unfavorable view of the United States and 70 percent had no confidence in the superpower......
Over 80 percent of respondents identified the Arab-Israeli conflict as a key issue but just over half -- 55 percent -- did not believe there would ever be a lasting peace between the Israelis and the Palestinians despite U.S. efforts.......
In the Lebanese conflict, only 9 percent expressed sympathy with the majority governing coalition supported by Washington while 30 percent backed the opposition led by the militant group Hezbollah, which the United States opposes......
In the conflict between Hamas and Fatah, only 8 percent said they sympathized most with Fatah and 18 percent were more partial to Hamas, while 37 percent said they backed both."

Monday, April 14, 2008

Syria looks to a May Israeli aggression?

In the Qatari Al Watan, here

Further Undermining the Non-Proliferation Regime: "Israel and U.S. sign nuclear cooperation agreement"

Yossi Melman in Haaretz, here
"....Even though the agreement is essentially technical in nature, it has much greater significance, as many countries, including the U.S., are inclined not to cooperate with Israel on any aspects related to the nuclear field, because Israel is not a signatory to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). However, the U.S. has agreements on nuclear safety with Israel. Moreover, Israel also has an agreement for limited cooperation on matters of nuclear safety with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and has adopted the stringent standards and safety procedures of the Vienna-based organization..."

"...The United States is far closer to having created another failed state in Iraq ..."

Blake Hounshell writes in Foreign Policy, here, via War&Piece
"...The arguments for staying in Iraq are drearily familiar. ..... a “blood bath” if the United States leaves. Withdrawing will only “embolden” al Qaeda......Iraq’s oil ...... Iran will seize control of the country. These risks are not only overblown, they are also deeply uncertain. They must be weighed against the well-known costs of sticking around—a U.S. military stretched to the breaking point, a Middle East becoming more radicalized and anti-American, continued distraction from the real fight against al Qaeda in Afghanistan and the real diplomatic action in Asia, to name but a few. Most importantly, we must not forget that even a perfect surge would still have left the United States chasing an expected strategic payoff—a stable, democratic Iraq—that is extremely unlikely to be realized for decades, if at all. "

US and Iran holding 'secret' talks on nuclear programme

In the Independent, here and Thomas Pickering's proposal, published last month in the NY Review of Books,
"...Significantly, according to the article, backchannel negotiations usually come to light once they've already failed, or once they've gathered a critical mass of support. Pickering maintains that the Bush administration was kept informed of the talks and "did not discourage" them. He also maintains that response on both sides has been positive. I expressed some skepticism about the plan when it was published, but today's report coincides with an announcement by the Iranian Foreign Minister that Iran will be presenting a broad proposal for regional stability that should satisfy the P5+1, as well as recent reports of an evolution in the kinds of incentives the U.S. was willing to offer Iran...."
Continue reading in the World Politics review, here

Zarqawi's brother & two of Bin Laden's direct relatives ... in Lebanon

Fida' Itani writes in Al Akhbar, here

Sunday, April 13, 2008

"...The president of the Israeli Friends of the Tibetan People, was involved in the murder of Palestinians in Gaza in 1967.."

Gideon Levy says that Israelis have no moral right to fight the occupation of Tibet in Haaretz, here
"....The Palestinians are not as nice as the Tibetans in the eyes of the world. But the Palestinian people deserve exactly the same rights as the occupied Tibetan people, even if their leaders are less enchanting, they have no scarlet robes and their fight is more violent. There is absolutely no connection between rights and the means of protest, and from that perspective, there is no difference between a Tibetan and a Palestinian - they both deserve the exact same freedom....
......but in general, the extent of Israeli repression in the territories is much greater today than Chinese repression in Tibet....."

"Israel Can Stand Up for Itself"

In the NYTimes, here
"Commitment?" To Israel? When was this commitment made? I was under the impression that Bush's opposition to the putative Iranian weapons program was sui generis. (irony alert) In other words, I thought that this was a policy decided on in the context of internal American debate. Does this mean that that this policy was a concession to Israel?
Chafets doesn't believe that the US is a reliable ally. In other words he agrees with De Gaulle's opinion that America could not have been relied on to go to war against the Soviet Union in order to save Europe. That is why France withdrew her forces from NATO command. The Germans and the other NATO countries did not agree with De Gaulle's view in this.
Chafets also thinks that Israel can deal with its security issues alone. If that is so, then why is the US providing Israel so much budgetary support at present?
Chafets specifically rejects Krauthammer's idea of a written American commitment to retaliation on behalf of (or perhaps in memory of) Israel.
There will be opinions here I am sure. pl

"...it is inevitable that Iran's proxies in Iraq, Gaza and Lebanon will have to be countered by military force

The WaPo peddles a military solution, ... here

Saturday, April 12, 2008

"Iraq: A sinkhole, not a quagmire"

Helena Cobban, here
"...Though Bush has given Gen. Petraeus broad latitude to cherry-pick whatever he wants out of the US force-planning system, the US budget, etc., in fact there is no way Petraeus or any other commander can "win" in Iraq. Indeed-- as we saw demonstrated very clearly during last week's hearings-- there is not even any publicly announced definition of what "winning" would mean there.
This is the "sinkhole" aspect of the problem. You pour in money and service-members, and they just get gobbled up..."

A Paradigm Shift: How Hizbollah Won the War

Shahid Alam in the PC, via SicSemperTyrannis, here, and Colonel Lang's comment:
"...See my talk at the Miller Center on September 11, 2006. I would differ with Professor Alam only in his description of the force that fought the Israelis in 2006 as "a guerrilla army." A "guerrilla army" employs guerrilla tactics, that is, it fights a war of the "ants against the elephant." It seeks to inflict long term physical and spiritual attrition on a conventional enemy through ambush, raiding and similar operations. It nearly always seeks to avoid becoming decisively engaged.
Hizbullah, as it was in Lebanon in 2006, was not a "guerrilla army." It was an army in the process of metamorphosis. " pl

Le Figaro: "Les «protecteurs manipulateurs» de Saddiq ont voulu Ă©viter que leur client les discrĂ©dite devant le tribunal international..."

In Le Figaro, known for its "closeness" with the Elysee, here
"..... Assadiq est exfiltrĂ© vers l'Arabie saoudite, oĂą des proches de Saad Hariri, l'hĂ©ritier, commencent Ă  le «briefer». Au Liban, Detlev Melhis, le procureur allemand en charge de l'enquĂŞte, est Ă  la peine. Les tĂ©moignages abondent. Mais les preuves d'une implication syrienne manquent. Les ­pro- Hariri, qui collaborent Ă©troitement avec la commission Mehlis, vont alors «faire endosser Ă  Assadiq des informations recueillies par ailleurs».
.......Assadiq sera exfiltrĂ© par les autoritĂ©s françaises. Jacques Chirac savait-il qu'il s'agissait d'«un coup montĂ©» ? Pas sĂ»r. Mais dès ses premiers interrogatoires, la DGSE s'en aperçoit, et refile la «patate chaude» Ă  la DST.
.........En le mettant au secret, ses «protecteurs manipulateurs» ont voulu Ă©viter que leur client les discrĂ©dite devant le tribunal international. Mais d'ici lĂ , encore faudrait-il que l'aigrefin se taise..."

Iraqi Uranium Shipped to Canada?

Iraqi Uranium Shipped to Canada
Uranium Intelligence Weekly
Monday, April 7, 2008
Some 1.5 million pounds of U3O8 has been shipped out of Iraq under conditions of extreme secrecy, marking one final death knell for Iraq's fabled nuclear program, UIW has learned. The uranium was destined for Canada, where the intended purchaser, Cameco, a Saskatoon-based producer will presumably use it to meet customer demand. The sale followed months of negotiations overseen by the US government - apparently under the auspices of the National Nuclear Security Administration, a division of the Department of Energy (DOE), with probable input from the State Department. Individuals from companies involved were said to have been required to have "Q" clearances, which are granted by DOE for situations specifically involving sensitive nuclear information; at least some of the key meetings took place in Paris.
UIW reported a sale of the same amount of uranium last week, saying it had "government implications," but only late last week learned that the material had been in Iraq. Cameco successfully outbid rivals including General Electric and France's Areva. The uranium has already been shipped out of Iraq, destined for a Canadian conversion facility in Ontario, according to industry sources. Lyle Krahn, a spokesman for Cameco, refused to confirm the transaction. "As the world's largest uranium producer," Krahn said, "we're continually associated with many deals, and our policy is not to comment on rumors." A spokesman for the NNSA was unable to confirm the story and the State Department had no official comment. An Iraqi government source said he was aware of the broader outlines of the transaction but could not confirm specifics. Those were fleshed out by several industry sources who requested anonymity. There were no specific denials of the basic story.
The deal appears to represent the last vestiges of Iraq's old yellowcake, almost all of it acquired in the 1980s when Iraq's former dictator, Saddam Hussein, was secretly pursuing a nuclear weapons capability. According to a 2004 report by the US-led Iraq Survey Group, Iraq had just under 1.5 million lbs U3O8 in June 2004. That was when a joint International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and coalition forces team inventoried the material. It included 370,000 lbs U3O8 produced at the Iraqi Al-Qa'im plant that extracted uranium from phosphate ore. Iraqi uranium holdings from foreign sources included 554,000 lbs U3O8 from Portugal, obtained in 1980 and 1982, and 520,000 lbs U3O8 from Niger, obtained in 1981. Iraq also had small quantities of UO2, a powder form of uranium oxide used in fuel pellets. Some of this had been enriched to 2.6% U-235, while other quantities were natural or depleted uranium. This material was sourced variously to Portugal, Italy, Niger and Brazil.
Iraq's Nuclear Future?
The sale of its yellowcake inventories suggests Iraq may not join its neighbors in the much-vaunted nuclear renaissance, although the US government is promoting a nuclear revival elsewhere in the world and has not discouraged some of Iraq's neighbors -- with the obvious exception of Iran -- from their own civilian nuclear ambitions. Iraq used the cover of a "peaceful" program from the late 1970s onward to gain access to nuclear technology, equipment and uranium while secretly building nuclear weapons expertise. The effort was repeatedly foiled, beginning with the Israeli bombing of the Osirak reactor in 1982. Aggressive UN inspections after the 1991 Gulf War exposed and ended much of its program, and sanctions throughout the 1990s, combined with bombings in 1998, prevented any hopes of a near-term revival. Throughout the sanctions and the run-up to the March 2003 invasion, Iraq's inventories were subject to annual IAEA Physical Inventory Verification inspections, whereby the agency determined that the amounts declared matched the amounts in inventory.
But the IAEA oversight was not enough to prevent looting at Iraq's Tuwaitha nuclear weapons complex, where much of the uranium was stored. In early June 2003, the IAEA was called in to examine the damage, and it estimated that "at least 10 [kilograms] of uranium compounds could have been dispersed." Safeguards seals applied to the two buildings where the uranium was held had been broken. In the first building, many containers were missing, while others had been emptied, with uranium compounds strewn across a large floor. In the second building, one drum of yellowcake was missing, but "its contents appeared to have been dumped onto the floor adjacent to where the drum was originally located," according to an IAEA report dated Jul. 14, 2003. IAEA head Mohammed ElBaradei said in that report that, "The quantity and type of uranium compounds dispersed are not sensitive from a proliferation point of view."
The US helped remove some of Iraq's inventories the year after the second Gulf War. On Jun. 23, 2004, the DOE airlifted the UO2 enriched to 2.6% - some 1.77 tons of uranium of Italian origin. This came days before the US Coalition Provisional Authority transferred sovereignty to the Iraqi government. "This operation was a major achievement for the Bush administration's goal to keep potentially dangerous nuclear materials out of the hands of terrorists," then-DOE head Spencer Abraham said in a statement at the time.
The 2004 removal operation involved 20 experts from the DOE's national laboratories. The US Department of Defense was responsible for securing and transporting the material, as well as planning and funding the operation. This contrasts with the recent sale of yellowcake, which apparently was transported by a private firm.

(Copyright © 2008 Energy Intelligence Group, Inc.)

Iran Top Threat To Iraq, U.S. Says

In the WaPo, here
....But he also reaffirmed that he has no desire to go to war with Tehran. Saying that his job is to "solve these issues diplomatically," Bush suggested heightened interest in reaching a solution with other countries. "You can't solve these problems unilaterally. You're going to need a multilateral forum." ...

On Bandar, Mughniyeh .... Lebanese Forces & Fadlallah ...

from the Foreign Policy Blog, here "...Previously, I speculated that the Saudis might have been involved in Mougniyah's killing. The Saudis have long sought revenge for the 1996 Khobar Towers attack, which they blame on Mougniyah and Iran. Plus, Bob Woodward reported in 1987 that the Saudis had arranged for a group of Lebanese Christians to kill Hezbollah's spiritual leader, Sheikh Mohammed Hussein Fadlallah, at the behest of then CIA Director William Casey. Prince Bandar was allegedly involved then, too, so either he's still at it or the Syrians are simply grasping for the most plausible storyline...."

More intrigue in the Hariri case..

From the Foreign Policy blog, here

Krauthammer's Solution for Israel

From SicSemperTyrannis, here
"It shall be the policy of this nation to regard any nuclear attack upon Israel by Iran, or originating in Iran, as an attack by Iran on the United States, requiring a full retaliatory response upon Iran." Charles Krauthammer's for American deterrance in protection of Israel.

Tuesday, April 8, 2008

Secret US plan for military future in Iraq ...comes with absence of a time limit or restrictions on the US and other coalition forces...

In the Guardian, here

Damascus, Ramallah or Tehran....

Amir Oren in Haaretz, here
"...And so this is a time of not-war and not-peace in the North. A military conflict would be bad for Syria and bad for Israel, which is focused on the nuclear threat posed by Iran. The measuring of the two dangers against each other recalls the wavering in the spring of 1981 between two objectives for the Israel Air Force - the Syrian surface-to-air missiles in Lebanon and the Iraqi nuclear reactor. Then, largely thanks to the recommendation of air force commander David Ivri, preference was given to taking care of the far-off nuclear problem over tackling nearby Syria. ..."

Bad to Worse for Moqtada Sadr?

Rich Lowry (and an emailing friend) seem to believe so ... here

Israel, while supposedly observing an ironclad boycott of all things Iranian, is happily buying Iranian oil

In the Guardian (from the Swiss Sonntag), here
"It is not clear if the Iranian exporters know about Israeli purchases of their oil. At the other end, the Israeli buyers and governmental offices are well aware of where the high-grade oil comes from, although it is a blatant defiance of the boycott."

Monday, April 7, 2008

Khaddam, (quoted by Mustaqbal & Jerusalem Post): Shawkat 'under house arrest'...

Khaddam, in the JPost, here

Iran joined militias in battle for Basra!

In the London Times, here Military and intelligence sources believe Iranians were operating at a tactical command level with the Shi’ite militias fighting Iraqi security forces; some were directing operations on the ground, they think. ... Petraeus intends to use the evidence of Iranian involvement to argue against any reductions in US forces.

"What we'll do with the 60-100K armed JAM members? The mirror image problem to the one we had with the Sunni "Sons of Iraq?

Laura Rosen, here

"Maliki and presumably his American interlocutors are seeking to "neuter" Sadr: he would be unable to resist whatever result in the elections.."

In the IHT, here via SST, here
"...Application of Occam's Razor to this issue yields the solution that those forces fear that Sadr would become stronger in the elections if allowed to contest them on an "even playing field."
Sadr's response has been to ask for the guidance of the senior ayatollahs in Najaf and Qom as to whether or not he should disarm. This appeal to Najaf and Qom is a strong move. He can hardly lose in this. If he is advised by the ijma' (consensus) of the hawza to retain his forces, then he will do so with religious sanction. If advised to disarm, then Maliki will be in the position of either allowing Sadr to run his candidates relatively unmolested or of being seen to have "rigged" the election against the consensus of the hawza....."

Palestinian refugees welcomed in Chile

Via AngryArab, in the USAToday, here

Residents of La Calera, about 81 miles north of Santiago, welcome a group of newly arrived Palestine refugees on April 6. The first 38 Palestinian refugees -- part of a larger group -- arrived in Chile from the Syrian-Iraqi border.

Iran says US requests more Iraq talks

AFP via KhaleejTimes, here
“We have received a new request from US officials through a formal note for holding talks on Iraq and we are looking into the issue,” foreign ministry spokesman Mohammad Ali Hosseini told reporters....He said that the note had been received through the Swiss embassy in Teheran..."

Sunday, April 6, 2008

"McCain's doomed promise of military "victory" in Iraq is akin to Wile E. Coyote's perpetual pursuit of the Road Runner, with much higher carnage.."

In "Tet happened, and no one cared" Frank Rich in the IHT, here

Rocket attacks on US bases in & out of Green Zone kill 3 soldiers .. while 'new' Shiite Militias clash with Mahdi in Baghdad ...

In McClatchy's here
".....Shiite Muslim volunteer fighters in neighborhoods dominated by the rival Mahdi Army militia of radical Shiite cleric Muqtada al Sadr....As the new volunteers took to the streets on the eve of key congressional testimony by Army Gen. David Petraeus, ...The new Shiite neighborhood militias may be intended to compensate for the Iraqi Security Forces' poor performance in last week's offensive against the Mahdi Army in the southern port city of Basra

Israel wants ... that Iran breaks ties with Syria, that Hamas is evicted from Damascus, and that Nasrallah converts to Judaism..."

Zvi Bar'el in Haaretz, here
"....Israel is seeking an appropriate tactical return for peace with Syria. Peace in and of itself is simply not "worth it." Peace with an Arab state that also affects Hezbollah, controls events in Lebanon, has close ties with Iran and close allies like Turkey, is party to the Arab initiative and will announce in advance any military maneuver it plans to carry out, and would invite Israeli observers - peace with such a state is considered by Israel as an empty peace.
Israel first wants a strategic change in the Middle East - that Iran breaks ties with Syria, that the Hamas leadership is evicted from Damascus, and that Hassan Nasrallah converts to Judaism. Only then will it "grant" Syria peace. Peace with Syria according to Israel needs to be a not-very-significant by-product, instead of the means by which strategic change is brought about.
This Israeli dream will not come true....."

Dan Senor : "Condoleezza Rice is interested in becoming John McCain's vice presidential running mate..."

From UPI, here ... she's got a slight advantage over Cheney & gang: The Administration has "sincerely" lifted the embargo on Syrian-Israeli talks, ... and watches as Israel & Hamas 'talk' via the Egyptians ... US-Iran talks? We're told the US is interested but "does not know how ..."
Obviously, most of the above parties prefer to wait it out... and see Bush out of the WH...

USIP Iraq Report: "political progress is "so slow, halting and superficial" and political fragmentation "so pronounced"...

Robin Wright in the WaPo, here
"....Some recent favorable developments in Iraq come from factors "that are outside U.S. control" and susceptible to rapid change, the report said, including the cease-fire by Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr and the new Sunni Awakening councils made up of former insurgents and tribal leaders opposed to the government of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki....
The report outlines two options if Washington seeks to reduce its Iraq commitment. The first option would peg U.S. engagement to Iraq's agreement to decentralize power to its provinces, leaving the Baghdad government in charge of national defense and revenue distribution only. If Iraq fails to act, however, Washington should "cut its losses" and work out a withdrawal schedule; if Iraq complies, the United States should maintain a reduced troop presence to train the army and police.
"Reductions in troop levels will likely result in some degree of chaos and violence no matter what," the report warns. "The decentralized, fragmented political dynamic in Iraq cannot be reversed." Creation of a strong central government that can take on security is unlikely to happen in the time left for the current expanded U.S. military presence...."

Importing Human Rights to the Proposed Hariri Court's Process



http://www.cdrl.org/

Importing Human Rights to the Proposed Hariri Court's Process

By Dr. Muhamad Mugraby
Beirut, Lebanon, March 28, 2008: The proposal to set up a special quasi international court to try the persons who may be eventually accused and indicted for the crime of murdering former Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri (commonly referred to as the "Hariri Court") has already been dangerously infected with politics. Worse than that, it is increasingly being compromised with some of the most dangerous ailments of the Lebanese judicial system that it was meant to be freed from. What I mean is the practice of according conclusive evidentiary weight to primary police investigations to incriminate the accused.
The common reference in Lebanon to the successively appointed chiefs of the special UN investigation commission, such as Detlev Mehlis, as "judges" is wrong and serves to give their work, which is of the nature of a police investigation, far more weight than is recognized by law. In Lebanon, like in most countries, primary investigations, conducted by the police, are only one step in a series of processes leading in the end either to incrimination or acquittal. In serious crimes punishable by over three years of imprisonment as is obviously true in the Hariri murder case, such investigations are used by a prosecutor to refer the file to an investigating judge who will conduct further investigations and present his conclusions to a special chamber of the court of appeal that has the ultimate power to issue an indictment. The indicted persons are then tried before a criminal tribunal that has the power to acquit or incriminate them. Until a final judgment is adopted, the acc used are unequivocally entitled to the presumption of innocence. This is the law, fully supported by the European Convention on Human Rights and Articles 10 and 11 of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights which is incorporated by reference into the Lebanese Constitution.
The purpose of a primary investigation is to collect raw evidence that may later be used for prosecution and indictment. Nevertheless, it is up to the tribunal, and to the tribunal alone, to consider the admissibility and effect of such evidence, if any, in open court under the statutory rules of evidence and with the full exercise by those accused of their right of defense. In Lebanon, primary investigations involve interviewing the suspects in closed interrogation rooms, without assistance by lawyers. The transcript is recorded by the investigators themselves in long hand and is signed by the suspects, often under duress and without knowledge of their legal rights. In many cases the investigators are heavily influenced by politics and/or by their own zeal and perception of justice. To some, such influences justify the use of duress and even torture. I have personally witnessed a police captain beat up beat up his prisoner without any provocation and when I reported the e vent to the prosecutor general in writing, as was my duty as a lawyer, the prosecutor did nothing and, in his presence, the police officer involved defiantly told me that he was prepared to do it again.
Unfortunately, most Lebanese courts consider admissions under such circumstances, in spite of their subsequent retraction, as sufficient and conclusive evidence of guilt, without any corroboration. One such case against four young people came, on appeal, before the Sixth Chamber of the Court of Cassation chaired by Judge Ralph Riachi. The high court unanimously rejected the defense, that admissions were obtained by the police during the stage of primary investigations under duress and were subsequently retracted before the investigating judge, and that such admissions were used to indict and incriminate the appellants in the absence of any other evidence, and upheld the convictions (Decision No. 320/2003, Case No. 274/2003).
The fact of the matter is that investigators are not judges and have no judicial power, and their closed interrogation rooms are not court rooms open to the public. The safeguards embodied in internationally recognized human rights require that the process that could lead to the negation of the presumption of innocence be built on solid evidence presented in the court room where the accused have the assistance of lawyers and the fullest opportunities to exercise their right of defense. The locking of the process before the indictment and trial, on the basis of primary investigations, is a grave violation of human rights and a denial of justice.
The raison d'etre of the proposal for the Hariri Court was lack of confidence in the capabilities of the Lebanese judicial system. It will be a great pity to import such system, including the practice of convicting suspects on the basis of primary investigations conducted by the police, or, in the Hariri Case, the investigators of the special UN commission. The recent television interview of Mehlis, basically a glorified and high ranking German police officer, and the conclusions that could be reached by the public based on his off-the-cuff sayings, provide added reasons for grave concern that a zealous primary investigator has been openly trying to lock the process of the proposed Hariri Court and destroy the human rights safeguards that are desperately needed to insure that justice is not only done but also seen to be done.

Dr. Mugraby is a lawyer and advocate of human rights and democracy. He is the president of Center for Democracy and the Rule of Law. An edited version of this opinion appeared today in the Daily Star, Beirut, and was posted on www.cdrl.org.
For further information: E-mail info@cdrl.org and visit http://www.cdrl.org/.
http://www.cdrl.org/
--

Saturday, April 5, 2008

Olmert & Bush want to reveal details of Syria attack because "there is little chance of a conflagration as a result of Syrian retaliation.."

Harel & Ravid in Haaretz, here
"....Details of the attack are likely to be revealed by senior Bush administration officials during hearings before Congress. Advisers of Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, Yoram Turbowicz and Shalom Turjeman, discussed the issue last week in Washington with senior intelligence officials, and National Security Adviser Stephen Hadley.
During the meetings, the two sides agreed on which details of the attack to make public and which details could have negative implications. According to foreign reports, Israel transfered to the U.S. detailed intelligence on the installation attacked, and the two sides agreed not to reveal any details without prior coordination.
The view in Washington and in Jerusalem is that publishing details of the attack will bolster Israel's deterrence and may even lead Syria to cool its close ties with Iran and North Korea...."



Iraqi official: Blackwater staying on 'is bad news'

.... ans stories from the SOVEREIGN state of Iraq continue to trickle ... here, from CNN.

Historians rate the Bush Presidency as the "Worst" ...

From the History News Network (a PEW Research Center Poll), here
George Bush has combined mediocrity with malevolent policies and has thus seriously damaged the welfare and standing of the United States,” wrote one of the historians, echoing the assessments of many of his professional colleagues. “Bush does only two things well,” said one of the most distinguished historians. “He knows how to make the very rich very much richer, and he has an amazing talent for f**king up everything else he even approaches. His administration has been the most reckless, dangerous, irresponsible, mendacious, arrogant, self-righteous, incompetent, and deeply corrupt one in all of American history.”

Iran Confirms Role In Brokering Iraq Truce

AP via Huffington Post, here

"... It's saturday april 5th and he still is "truly" a history maker..."

JamG said "in case you're wondering. It's saturday april 5th and he (Abdullah of Saudi arabia) still is a history maker", here

Coming Soon: A Crisis in Civil-Military Relations

Richard Kohn, writes in WorldAffairs, here via AbouMuqawama.
"...Already, politicians and generals have been pointing fingers at one another; the Democrats and some officers excoriating the administration for incompetence, while the administration and a parade of generals fire back at the press and anti-war Democrats. The truly embittered, like retired Army Lieutenant General Ricardo Sanchez, who commanded in Iraq in 2003­­–04, blame everyone and everything: Bush and his underlings, the civilian bureaucracy, Congress, partisanship, the press, allies, even the American people. Last November, Sanchez went so far as to deliver the Democrats’ weekly radio address—and, with it, more bile and invective. Thomas Ricks, chief military correspondent of the Washington Post, detects a “stab in the back narrative . . . now emerging in the U.S. military in Iraq. . . . [T]he U.S. military did everything it was supposed to do in Iraq, the rest of the U.S. government didn’t show up, the Congress betrayed us, the media undercut us, and the American public lacked the stomach, the nerve, and the will to see it through.” Ricks thinks this “account is wrong in every respect; nonetheless, I am seeing more and more adherents of it in the military.”

'Leaked" document suggest that Obama is listening to ideas Calling for 60,000-80,000 US Troops To Stay in Iraq Through 2010...

Eli Lake in the New York Sun, here ... and AbuAardvark speculates about the "leaker" and points to the fact that there IS NO INDICATION whatsoever that Obama is even considering this...here

Friday, April 4, 2008

After Leaving Office Cheney Gets 180 Days of Police Protection at US$ 4 Million... or about $22,222 a day

Washington Whispers, here

Monstres sacrés ou sacrés monstres? Entre le Saladin babylonien et le Bismarck syrien, une détestation inexpiable

By Rene Naba, here
Saddam Hussein et Hafez Al-Assad:

Israeli internal security minister target of sniper fire...

Is that Shlomo Argov/Dorchester Hotel/1982 Invasion Of Lebanon redux? ......... here

More than 1,000 Iraqi soldiers & policemen abandoned their posts during the inconclusive assault against Sadr ....

In the NYTimes, here and 'b' at MoonOfAlabama adds this here

Egypt: Local Elections…the End of the Democratic Spring

From Carnegie, here
"......In addition, the NDP will shortly propose a new decentralization law giving more authority to local governments. This created fears in the ruling party that another political force, especially the Muslim Brotherhood, could use these new prerogatives to expand its political capacity. This fear is unrealistic; however, consider the enormous power that presidentially-appointed provincial governors will continue to exercise over local administration....."

Thursday, April 3, 2008

A tribute to Shinseki the General who "Understood Iraq from the Start"...

In Dissent Magazine, via WPR, here
Cedar Creek, Virginia, Photo by 'GPC'

'Allying with Christian Zionists is bad for Israel'

Rabbi Yoffie slams rejection of 2-state solution, blasts evangelical leader Hagee over attacking other faiths, in Haaretz, here
"...Yoffie knows his rejection of the Christian Zionists will not be embraced in Israel. But he asks: "By what right do we expect others to walk away from those who make anti-Jewish or anti-Israel statements when we will not walk away from those who make anti-Islam or anti-Catholic statements?"

'Zigzag response' to Syria tensions doesn't signal war

Harel and Issacharoff in Haaretz, here
".......This week's contradictory statements give the impression that the tension still exists, especially regarding Hezbollah's intention to avenge Imad Mughniyah's assassination. The fear of war appears, for the moment, somewhat exaggerated.
Defense Ministry official Amos Gilad said in radio interviews yesterday that Israel and Syria have no interest in attacking each other, and that the Arab media's reports of mobilizing Syrian reserves were mistaken.....
A Syrian intelligence officer, putting together Barak's statement, his canceling a trip to Germany, the cabinet's decision to redistribute gas masks and the national emergency maneuver next week, would probably conclude that Israel was interested in escalation.
Despite this, Syria also made an effort yesterday to calm things down. A member of parliament, Mohammed Habash, told Al Arabiya television that the Syrian army was not on alert, and that his country had no intention of attacking Israel...."

Sen. Kennedy & Levin sent letter to DNI McConnell to release NEW Iraq NIE ...

From War&Piece, here
Senate Armed Services Committee chairman press release: "Today, Senators Edward M. Kennedy and Carl Levin, Chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, sent the following letter to [Mike] McConnell, the Director of National Intelligence, asking him to release an unclassified summary of key conclusions and assessments included in the new National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq. Kennedy and Levin state that there is no reason for this request to be denied, and ask that the information be provided before General Petraeus’s and Ambassador Crocker’s forthcoming testimony before Congress."

Amatzia Baram on "Moqtada's Activities"...

"Dear Pat,
You may find this of interest. From Iraqi TV reports: Muqtada's "Initiative"
(Mubadara) seems to hold, more-or-less. The essence of the Initiative: a ceasefire, everybody in their place, no weapons surrendered to the government. Muqtada also demanded, as part of the cease fire, release of the Mahdi Army prisoners in government hands (around 2000). So far: this is a draw. Government troops continue with sporadic arrests of Mahdi militiamen, but no military breakthrough. It may easily be also seen as a defeat to Maliki, if he gets no US-British support on a large scale. The field of activity is shifting to mass politics. In Basra ans Karbala today for the first time tribal demostrations in support of Maliki. In Basra his own tribe, the Bani Malek, and in Karbala the [Shi'i] branch of the Janabiyyin, a small but highly respected tribe, mainly due to their kinship ties to the highly-influential Sunni Janibiyyin. The two demos danced their tribal war dance (al-Hosa) and sang praise for Maliki. Still, the demos were not very large. In al-Furat TV a list of tribes supportive of Maliki was provided.
This is very reminiscent of Saddam's practice of providing lists of tribal shaykhs swearing allegiance to the Historical Necessity, the Commander of the Legions of the Faithful. In Kazimiyya, on the other hand, there was a demo against Maliki, with a few men carrying a coffin with the PM's name on it. That one too was not very large either. Kazimiyya is Mahdi Army stronghold, with clerical support from the radical Ayatollah Khalisi.
Best
Amatzia "

PA's 'Preventive Security' spied on Hezbollah for Israel?

From the Kuwaiti Al Jarida, here

Hearing: Senate Committee on Foreign Relations: Iraq After The Surge

Prepared Testimony of Nir Rosen, here... and highlights, below:
"...Most embedded journalists, just like embedded politicians and embedded members of think tanks on Washington’s K Street or Massachusetts Avenue, lack language skills and time on the ground in Iraq—and since they are white, they cannot travel around Baghdad without attracting attention and getting kidnapped or killed. They know nothing about Iraq except what they gain through second- or third-hand knowledge, too often provided by equally disconnected members of the US military. Recently we have seen positive articles about events in Iraq published by so called experts such as Anthony Cordesmen, Michael O’Hanlon, Kenneth Pollock, Fred Kagan and even former members of the Coalition Provisional Council such as Dan Senor. These men speak no Arabic and cannot get around without their babysitters from the American military. But it seems that the more they get wrong, these and other propagandists for the war, such as Thomas Friedman, manage to maintain their credibility.
.... Many Americans are also unaware that a foreign military occupation is a systematic imposition of violence and terror on an entire people. American soldiers are not their as peacekeepers or policemen, they are not there to “help” the Iraqi people. At least 24,000 Iraqis still languish in American-run prisons. At least 900 of these are juveniles, some of whom are forced to go through a brainwashing program called the “House of Wisdom,” where American officers are arrogant enough to lecture Muslims about Islam. The Americans are supposed to hand over Iraqi prisoners to Iraqi authorities, since it’s theoretically a sovereign country, but international human rights officials are loath to press the issue because conditions in Iraqi prisons are at least as bad as they were under Saddam. One US officer told me that six years is a life sentence in an Iraqi prison today, because that is your estimated life span there. In the women’s prison in Kadhmiya prisoners are routinely raped. Conditions in Iraqi prisons got much worse during the surge because the Iraqi system could not cope with the massive influx. Those prisoners whom the Americans hand over to the Iraqis may be the lucky ones, but even those Iraqis in American detention do not know why they are being held, and they are not visited by defense lawyers. The Americans can hold Iraqis indefinitely, so they don’t even have to be tried by Iraqi courts. A fraction are tried in courts where Americans also testify. But we have yet to see a trial where the accused is convincingly found guilty and there is valid evidence that is properly examined, with no coerced confessions. Lawyers don’t see their clients before trials, and there are no witnesses. Iraqi judges are prepared to convict on very little evidence. But even if Iraqi courts find Iraqi prisoners innocent, the Americans sometimes continue to hold them after acquittal. These are called “on hold” cases, and there are currently about 500 of them. And the Americans continue to arrest all men of military age when looking for suspects, to break into homes and traumatize sleeping families at night, and to bombs heavily populated areas, killing civilians routinely. Most recently the Americans killed civilians while bombing Tikrit and now five years into a war allegedly to liberate Shiites the Americans are bombing Shiite areas, serving as the airforce for the Dawa party and the Badr militia.
....I visited numerous Iraqi ministries and government offices in January and February. It was the Shiite holy month of Muharram and Shiite flags and religious banners covered these buildings. Radios and televisions in government offices were tuned in to Shiite religious stations. This creates the impression of Shiite ownership of the government among Sunnis, a feeling that they are excluded and unwanted, which is true. But the government is irrelevant anyway, it provides no services, not even the fundamental monopoly on the use of violence. So the focus we have back in Washington on laws being passed is flawed, power is in the hands of militias whose leaders are not in the Green Zone, so events there are a distraction....."

Ryan Crocker criticizes Nuri al-Maliki's decision to assault Basra

So much for "Iraq & the US did discuss this" ......Ambassador Ryan Crocker, sharp criticism of Nuri al-Maliki's decision to assault Basra, in the NYTimes, here

Wednesday, April 2, 2008

Israel worried Syrian army moves a preamble for Hezbollah operation

Haaretz ticker.

U.S. diplomats: Saudi Arabia likely to join Nukes club...

In AP via Haaretz, here

Syrie-Sommet-Arabe: "Le contournement du dernier récalcitrant arabe"

Rene Naba, here
"....Ramollir le noyau dur du Monde arabe par l’invasion rĂ©pĂ©titive de Gaza, fief du mouvement islamiste Hamas, le harcèlement du Hezbollah par des opĂ©rations de diversion des politiciens libanais, la neutralisation de la constellation du Douwal al Moumanah, l’alliance de fait entre le Hamas palestinien le Hezbollah libanais, la Syrie et l’Iran qui se considère comme le système de prĂ© alerte visant Ă  immuniser le monde arabo-musulman contre le virus de la soumission Ă  l’hĂ©gĂ©monie israĂ©lo-amĂ©ricaine. Epuiser le dernier Ă®lot de rĂ©sistance en prĂ©lude Ă  une Ă©ventuelle offensive contre l’Iran qui donnera la possibilitĂ© Ă  George Bush d’opĂ©rer une magistrale culbute, passant, de par son piètre bilan, de pire prĂ©sident des Etats-Unis, au plus grand gĂ©nie politique de l’histoire contemporaine...."

HSBC "...formally suspends all US dollar banking activity involving Iranian residents"

... through a correspondence between Gareth Smyth (FT) & Laura Rosen, here

Mossad & Israeli Companies accused of rigging elections in Zimbabwe

Via War&Piece, in the Forward, here

Basra: "Tehran decided with its accumulated old Persian wisdom that certain things in life are best left unspoken, especially stunning successes.."

In AsiaTimes, here
"...But it wasn't a matter of political symbolism, either. Tangible issues are involved. Questions of vital national interests. Clearly, Tehran had genuine concerns over the developing situation in southern Iraq close to its border. Tehran viewed the flare-up involving the Shi'ite factions with great disquiet......
What has happened is essentially that Iran has frustrated the joint US-British objective of gaining control of Basra, without which the strategy of establishing control over the fabulous oil fields of southern Iraq will not work....
nothing infuriates Cheney more than when US oil interests are hit. Thus, the most critical few weeks in the decades-long US-Iran standoff may have just begun. Last week, five former US secretaries of state who served in Democratic and Republican administrations - Henry Kissinger, James Baker, Warren Christopher, Madeline Albright and Colin Powell - sat at a round-table discussion in Athens and reached a consensus to urge the next US administration to open a line of dialogue with Iran"

Israel and Iran Share Most Negative Ratings in Global Poll

from WPO.org, here

BBC_ViewsCountries_Mar07_graph1.jpgBBC_ViewsCountries_Mar07_graph4.jpg

Lost Over Iran: How the press let the White House craft the narrative about nukes

Eric Umansky, writes in the Columbia Journal Review, here

American-made computer circuits sold to the United Arab Emirates turned up in the roadside bomb detonators

In the NYTimes, here
"....Nearly $12 billion worth of American goods flowed into the emirates in 2007. Officials in the emirates say the United States — which prohibits American companies from directly selling most goods to Iran and bars foreign companies from reselling dual-use products there — has complicated efforts to follow the rules...."

"Pssst... check the spears!"

U.S. Secret Service agents perform a security sweep on Ukrainian cultural performers before Ukrainian President Victor Yushchenko and U.S. President George W. Bush arrive at St. Sophia's Cathedral in Kiev, April 1, 2008

Too Late to Talk Peace With Hamas ... 'not interested'

"...I think that it is now too late to talk peace with Hamas. 2005 would have been good. 2006 would have been perfect. But not anymore. Not in 2007-2008. ...One reason is that Hamas is no longer interested..." says Sami Moubayed in the WaPo/Panel, here & here (panel discussed whether it would be appropriate to include Hamas in Israeli-Palestinian peace talks)

CNN calls Saudi king "A History Maker"

"Octavia Nasser, CNN's correspondent said 'King Abdullah has made history by his initiative which was welcomed by the religious quarters."

Khaled Meshal: Hamas backs Palestinian state in '67 borders

By Avi Issacharoff, in Haaretz, here

Iran Incites Cold War With U.S. in Lebanon Stalemate

Jeanine Zacharia writes in Bloomberg, here
Mouafac Harb, a Beirut-based Lebanese-American political consultant (emerging from obscurity & a 'financial misappropriation' debacle in Washington,) said that ....Syria and Hezbollah ``are all Iranian cards in the cold war with the U.S.,'' ...
".....To combat Iranian and Syrian influence in Lebanon, the U.S. has made some unusual allies. One is Samir Geagea, a Maronite Christian aligned with Siniora who was sentenced to death for crimes committed during Lebanon's civil war and later pardoned. He now runs Lebanese Forces, a party with its roots in the militia he headed. Last month, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice welcomed Geagea in Washington....

From a Beirut cell, an Iraqi watches as the U.S. finally takes his advice

In the IHT, here
".....So he waits in limbo, staring at the photographs of wounded and dead Iraqi children he has pasted to his cell wall. A haggard-looking man who treats his prison guests with elaborate hospitality, he says he has forgiven the Americans for killing his brother and his nephews and nieces, and for appropriating much of his family's large fortune. The future of Iraq is what matters, he says...."The Kharbit family was the early backbone of U.S. policy on tribes," said another former C.I.A. officer who had spent time in Iraq. "It's a bit odd that no one in the U.S. government really cares about him."

Tuesday, April 1, 2008

Timing, weaknesses in Iraqi offensive surprised Bush administration

Strobel & Youssef in McClatchy's, here
"There is no empirical evidence that the Iraqi forces can stand up" on their own, a senior U.S. military official in Washington said, reflecting the frustration of some at the Pentagon. He and other military officials requested anonymity because they weren't authorized to speak for the record....
Questions remain about how much Bush and his top aides knew in advance about the offensive and whether they encouraged Maliki to confront radical Shiite cleric Muqtada al Sadr......
"My instinct is that we knew but did not anticipate" that American forces would be called on to help, said Sen. Joseph Biden, D-Del., the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Biden stressed that he's still seeking information from the Bush administration on the matter....
Biden said that the Iraqi offensive may indeed have been "a defining moment," but not in the way Bush intended. "The president may be half-right,"

Did Maliki do Sadr a Favor in Basra?

William "Mac" McCallister offers this explanation, in Danger Room via World Politics review, here and Sam Brannen writes this "In Basra, Another Victory for Moqtada al-Sadr" in the Commentary, here

Beirut Airport denies landing to "US jet" inbounding from Tel Aviv?

According to NEW TV (and confirmed by Army's "Airport Security Apparatus") flight had to be diverted to be inbounding from Larnaca ..., here

Conservatives boiling with McCain's saber-rattling about hundred year deployments and more wars in the "Koran-zone"

Steve Clemons, here

"Iran has exercised considerable care with what it has not transferred to Hezbollah..."

Out of all places, in MESH, here
"....One area where I disagree, however, is on the question of whether it is likely that Iran would transfer a nuclear weapon to a terrorist group such as Hezbollah. As I argue in a recent article for Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, I believe that this is unlikely. On the demand side, Iran has exercised considerable care with what it has not transferred to Hezbollah...."