Saturday, August 7, 2010

"... Lebanon's 'new reality'..."

I agree with Levy and add, that comes Monday evening, Lebanon's senior "zionists" will either start fleeing, go underground or become residents of Roumieh! And here, I am not talking about spies only!
"... This week's events will almost certainly serve to further decrease the prospects of an internal clash and to solidify some measure of shared Lebanese solidarity in the face of a common foe (Israel). The LAF has now both suffered losses at the hands of Israel and inflicted a casualty on Israel. This will somewhat change its own self-perception and certainly change how Hezbollah and the rest of Lebanese society view the LAF. If there is to be an outbreak of Israeli-Lebanese violence then it is not unreasonable to expect closer LAF-Hezbollah cooperation than has ever previously been the case.
Speaking several hours after the clashes, Sheikh Nasrallah claimed to place his fighters at the disposal of the LAF, and enthusiastically talked of how he was coordinating with President Suleiman, Prime Minister Hariri, and Parliamentary Speaker Berri (who, we hear, have all received 'advanced copies of Monday's extravaganza'). One shouldn't get carried away -- there will be challenges ahead, not least how Hezbollah responds if and when the STL decision is announced (Nasrallah has promised that next week he will reveal supposed evidence of Israel being behind the assassination). In addition, PM Hariri may now have to decide on a response if and when the US exerts pressure for the LAF to distance itself from this week's events and its newly discovered national pride (more on that later). Internal political suspicion and mistrust have not magically evaporated, but in certain significant ways, we are in a new Lebanese reality...."

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