Tuesday, May 5, 2009

The Israel AF's exercises between Israel & Gibraltar ...

"The Israel Air Force recently staged military exercises between Israel and the British colony of Gibraltar near southern Spain, the French magazine L'Express reported on Saturday. 

The fact that the drills were held 3,800 kilometers away from Israel "confirms that the Israel Defense Forces is making concrete preparations" to attack Iran over its refusal to cooperate with the international community over its contentious nuclear program, according to L'Express. Ha'aretz
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Pat Lang: It is about 3200 km. roundtrip from the Israeli coast to Natanz, Iran.  Ha'aretz says that the IDF is flying long range training missions to Gibraltar practising in-flight refueling among other things.  It is 3800 km. roundtrip to Gibraltar from the Israeli coast.

-  This is undoubtedly a message.  The big question is whether or not it is a message that that will become a mission if Israel does not have its way.  Is it a "bluff?"  There is only one way to find out.  That is how "bluffs" work.

-  3800 kms. is the more or less straight line distance across Jordan and Iraq

-  Small yield nuclear weapons?  It never made any sense even as a planning drill any other way.

-  President Peres is supposed to tell President Obama today that Natanyahu is a bit of a wild man who might do anything imaginable if not given what he wants.  This is an interesting ploy, but unlikely to work well with Obama and Clinton.

-  And then one must consider the Jericho force...

Taken altogether these indicators point to a massive Israeli psychological campaign intended to push Iran and the US into doing what Israel wants.

The big question remains whether or not Israel will do the deed if frustrated.  pl

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