"... It seems that Hezbollah evaluated Assir’s threats and found them serious. In fact, Hezbollah found Assir’s threats to be an important step in the mission entrusted to him: to lure Hezbollah to an internal battle and to sectarian strife, no matter the price.....
Nasrallah gave a televised speech on Wednesday afternoon. He denied media rumors that he was ill and had been transferred to Iran. He also issued a stern warning: He said that the sectarian incitement will inevitably lead to an explosion, which may only be a few days away. He called on those with good intentions to act before it is too late.
Nasrallah’s speech was similar to his speech on May 6, 2008, when Lebanon was in a presidential vacuum. Parliament had failed to elect a successor to President Emile Lahoud, who left the presidential palace at the end of his mandate on Nov. 24, 2007.
Thus, after several months of sectarian tension, a series of clashes between Sunni and Shiite gunmen started in Beirut and its suburbs. Nasrallah appeared on TV and said that sedition was approaching and that he had decided to prevent it. In the hours following his speech, Hezbollah elements spread throughout Beirut and other areas, and quickly settled the matter. They eliminated the presence of all Sunni armed militia elements that followed former Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s Future Movement. Dozens of people were estimated to have been killed.
That clash paved the way for Arab and international mediation, which ended in a conference for the various Lebanese parties in Doha two weeks later. The conference culminated in an agreement to elect as president then Army Commander Gen. Michel Suleiman.
Nasrallah’s speech Wednesday holds many elements from that scenario. Lebanon is approaching a parliamentary vacuum (read; Presidential, Security Heads ...etc). Parliament is divided and unable to agree on a new electoral law. Security tensions are growing side-by-side with political ones. However, there is one element missing in the current situation. Namely, all regional countries are unable to play the role of mediator, as a result of the sharp polarization caused by the Syrian war. The West in general wants stability in Lebanon but not to the point that it would have to invest a lot of effort to ensure that stability."