"My guess on events in Iraq: We are about to see the Great Gamble of 2012"

"...My guess: U.S. forces actually will leave. The U.S. government then will wait for an invitation to come back. As former Army chief of staff George Casey once put it, "It's almost, we have to leave to get invited back." But what if it the invite doesn't come, or, what if it does, and the U.S. Congress balks? Keep in mind that 2012 is an election year for both the House of Representatives and the president. If we fall back into a recession, continued war spending is going to become extremely unpopular ..."