Monday, April 11, 2011

"Israel the winner in the Arab revolts"

"... Estimates of the dead in Libya's civil war, meanwhile, range from 1,000 to 10,000. No one paid much attention to the dozen and a half dead in Israel's latest retaliatory strike in Gaza. At the US State Department briefing April 7, spokesman Mark Toner condemned the latest rocket attacks on Israel "in the strongest possible terms", but said nothing about the Israeli response. 
That is harbinger of things to come. Assad may cling to power, but Syria has vanished as a prospective player in peace negotiations.... Syria will only fracture further. Israel's best course of action is to dig in its heels through the November 2012 US presidential elections while its prospective adversaries descend into chaos, and await the right opportunity to settle accounts with Hamas and Hezbollah.  Iran and its proxies cannot defeat Israel in open war, but they hope to provoke it into actions which would lead to diplomatic isolation and an imposed settlement on the 1949 ceasefire line. With just 13 kilometers between Arab territory and the sea, Israel would be vulnerable to rocketry on its western as well as its northern and southern borders, and even more constrained from military action by the presence of a recognized Palestinian state. Salami tactics of this sort, Iran and Syria believed, eventually would make Israel's position untenable...." (Continue, here)

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Very narrow view from the typically Islamophobic Spengler.

Israel may be able to drop a few bombs on Gaza knowing that western and arab media are so focused on Libya and the revolutions to pay much attention but when the dust settles on the revolutions the Arab world will be a lot less under American Israeli influence then before the revolutions.

So for the time being with everyone discracted Israel may be in a good position but medium to long term Israeli interests have taken a huge blow.

Anonymous said...

like they say on the internets:

''a winner is you''