Tuesday, January 25, 2011

Oxford Analytica: "Mikati will see business as usual..."

".....  The appointment of Mikati reflects a major victory for Hizbollah and its allies, who walked out of the government earlier this month, causing its collapse, over controversies surrounding the UN Special Tribunal for Lebanon. ...... Protesters set fire to a car belonging to Al-Jazeera television and attacked the office of a rival MP today, in a declared 'day of rage'. ....... The violence is unlikely to escalate to a serious level; Hizbollah is far better armed than its opponents. Moreover, since Hizbollah will now be able to block the UN tribunal's work without having to resort to arms, the prospect of major clashes is reduced. Mikati will be keen to create a broadly representative government;  the government may see business as usual -- although the impact of Hizbollah domination on foreign relations could be significant."

No comments: