Thursday, September 2, 2010

Gamal Mubarak ... Old Guard? Not so enthusiastic!

Carnegie:
"... Gamal Mubarak thus faces a dilemma: if he breaks away from his current supporters to cultivate the support of the old guard, for example by cooling his enthusiasm for the neo-liberal economic course, he is in danger of turning the powerful business elite against him (as well as going against his own instincts). On the other hand, if he retains his current supporters, the resistance of the old guard and possibly the military against his presidential ambitions could intensify. The old guard and the military could push for a transitional successor to President Mubarak—for example the powerful and Omar Suleiman (a favorite of Washington!), who apparently enjoys some popularity due to the perception that he is not corrupt—but whether this person would vacate the position for Gamal in the future would be far from certain...."

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