Saturday, June 26, 2010

"The Americans at the moment agree that our investigation right now should be the only game in town ..What they would be willing to do, is unclear"

The CABLE/ here

".... Both the U.S. and Israeli administrations are working to head off the prospect of another international investigation, which would come on top of the Israeli probe that the U.S. worked so hard to ensure had a measure of international participation and credibility -- but would fundamentally remain in Israeli hands.

But the U.S. and Israeli approaches right now, while having the same goal, are not totally in synch. The uncertainty is whether the Obama administration is willing to actively oppose a new investigation. This uncertainty is compounded by the mixed messages coming from senior officials like Jones, as well as the Obama team's apparent unwillingness to brush Secretary-General Ban off the plate.

"The Americans at the moment agree that our investigation right now should be the only game in town," an Israeli official told The Cable. "What they would be willing to do if this issue comes up in the U.N. is still unclear."

In fact, when Ban convened a meeting of all 14 U.N. Security Council countries last week to discuss the issue, only one country representative declined to speak at all: U.S. Deputy Ambassador Alejandro D. Wolff. "The fact that they did not choose to speak can be seen not as all enthusiastic [about a new investigation] but also not wanting to get into any confrontation with Ban Ki-moon," the official said.

Barak's message to Ban this week was twofold: The easing of the Gaza blockade should prevent the need for more flotillas, and a new investigation would only encourage those who want to send more ships to provoke another confrontation......

..... if a new investigation does surface, the Obama administration's quiet diplomacy might have to come to an end. ....... some potential flash points for the renewed comity between Washington and Jerusalem loom large. What will Israel do when its current settlement freeze expires? Where exactly does the Israeli government stand on many final-status issues that will need to be discussed in order to move from proximity talks to direct talks? The Obama team will want some answers from Netanyahu when he comes to Washington and meets with Obama July 6...."

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