Sunday, November 22, 2009

How & Why Saudi Arabia abandoned 'March 14' ...

A MEMRIte, quoting extensively from AsSafir & Al Akhbar, reaches the following conclusions, ...here
"... In the beginning, it was evident that Saudi Arabia was standing behind its allies in Lebanon, in an effort to preserve their victory in the elections and to promote their demands. Thus, for example, Saudi Arabia's demands, as stated in a Saudi-Syrian dialogue, coincided with the demands of the March 14 Forces. These included the delineation of the Syrian-Lebanese border, the relinquishment of the opposition's demand for an "obstructing third" in the cabinet, and the abolition of the Syrian-Lebanese Supreme Council. Syria, for its part, refused to acquiesce to these demands. It appears, however, that the regional developments in the Middle East - Iran's growing strength; the Shi'ite Yemenite threat to Saudi Arabia from the south, aided by Iran; U.S. President Obama's efforts to reach an understanding with Iran, while marginalizing Saudi Arabia and the Arab Sunni camp; and the consolidation of the Shi'ite regime in Iraq - have all led Saudi Arabia to the conclusion that it should be stepping up its dialogue and rapprochement with Syria. Consequently, it has been exerting pressure on the March 14 Forces to make concessions in a deal that would bring Lebanon under Syrian control once again.
In a November 14, 2009 article, columnist Nicolas Nassif revealed that during the October 7-8, 2009 summit between Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad and King 'Abdallah, the latter expressed his desire for Syria to regain its former role in Lebanon. According to Nassif, after this summit, Assad exerted pressure on his allies in the Lebanese opposition and accelerated the establishment of the government in Lebanon.
In addition, Ibrahim Al-Amin, chairman of Al-Akhbar's board of directors, recently published an article in which he claimed that following the October summit, King 'Abdallah had made it clear to Sa'd Al-Hariri that he had to accelerate the establishment of the government and that he had to make concessions, whereas Assad made it clear to his allies that he did not expect any concessions from them. On November 6, 2009, Al-Safir and Al-Akhbar reported that President Assad had asked King Abdallah to persuade Al-Hariri to give Michel Aoun the energy portfolio. On November 7, 2009, Ibrahim Al-Amin wrote that it was the Saudi king's son, Prince 'Abd Al-'Aziz bin 'Abdallah, who pressured Sa'd Al-Hariri to give Michel Aoun the telecommunications and energy portfolios.
Further pressure by Saudi Arabia on Sa'd Al-Hariri, who stuck to his guns and refused to give in to the opposition's demands, was an article published by the editor of the Saudi government daily Al-Riyadh, Turki Al-Sudairi, on October 13, 2009. In it, he suggested that the chronic instability from which Lebanon suffers could be alleviated by restoring Lebanon to Syria, from which it was severed in the Sykes-Picot agreement of the colonialist empires...."

1 comment:

Thoughtful Senior Founding Member of the FLC said...

MEMRI, WINEP, STRATFOR, the whole bunch of the alphabet soup of neoconservative and zionist leanings continue to mistake their wishes for solid analysis. Indeed, KSA did apply the pressure on Hariri but not for the reasons mentioned in the piece, at least, these were not the only reaons. In fact, there is a growing realization in the Arab world, and especially among US allies, that the US is no longer able to deliver on its promises. Hence, the US has become toxic to these regimes that are facing now serious challenges on the home front. KSA was extremely wise in reaching an understanding with Syria. What MEMRI and cohorts fail to realize, or do not want to admit, was the May meeting between Obama and King Abdullah was a total disaster for Obama. The king notified the US president that KSA would not do his bidding in the ME peace process as long as the US is not delivering on the freezing of the colonies in the West Bank. He told him that the maximum concessions have already been given in the Arab peace proposal and that they no longer need to show gestures of good intentions toward Israel. It is up to the latter to show it really wants peace. A Lebanese government including Hezbullah is one way of showing displeasure with the US.