"...A study by the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington said that due to the complexity and risk involved in an air strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, Israel may opt to strike with ballistic missiles if there are no other means to curtail the Islamic republic's nuclear programme. The study said that in the event of such an attack a strike on the Bushehr nuclear reactor would cause the immediate death of thousands of people in the area. Thousands or even hundreds of thousands would subsequently die of cancer and radioactive contamination would "most definitely" heavily affect Bahrain, Qatar and the UAE..."
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
Israel may launch missile strike on Iran
Paul Woodward in the National, here
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Read the CSIS study. It calculates some 50 or so Jericho III would be needed to achieve a temporarily successful non-nuclear strike against Iran.
The Jericho III had first operational capability only in 2008.
I doubt very much that 50 are existing by now - 5-10 is more plausible and likely and Israel would not waste them on conventional strikes to only get a temporary result.
So a lot of missile hype for nothing. Otherwise the study seems well grounded.
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