WINEP's Clawson & Eisenstadt in an interview with Haaretz, here
(*) ...... Shihab missiles are not considered particularly reliable. Iran deploys them without having done hardly any significant tests. Second, the Shihab's guidance system is not very accurate....
(*).......no guarantee that Hezbollah will react automatically.....
(*)....... its reactions in the past to attacks against it, or its important interests, is mixed.......Not only did Iran not respond, but also the incident hastened its decision to agree to a cease-fire ...
(*)........what would be deemed a success? If the attack does destroy the nuclear facilities, and it leads to a broad consensus in Iran that nuclear weapons are dangerous........
1 comment:
Wishful thinking. I really do not beleive that the events of the last week could have hapened without both US and Iranian consent which means they have done a deal which menas no attack until at least oost November.
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