Via WarandPiece, an essay by Barry Rubin at GLORIA Ctr. here and further reading on Israeli thinking, here
"...First, Iran is not about to obtain nuclear weapons, certainly not ones that it could use. That dreadful outcome is still several years away...
Second, neither Israel nor the United States is about to attack Iran... it is hard militarily to carry out such an attack, it is politically dangerous, and can lead to very serious consequences. An attack is something better to avoid, if possible. And it is certainly too early for such a high-risk, potentially high-cost venture..."
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