Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Can Sarkozy's Syria Ties Deliver a Mideast Truce?


TIME, here
"........ But Sarkozy will be hoping that his controversial resumption of relations with Syria last year will translate into diplomatic leverage that can deliver Hamas cooperation in a new cease-fire.

"There is no humanitarian crisis, and therefore there is no need for a humanitarian truce," Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni said Thursday after an Elysée meeting with Sarkozy, who had reiterated his appeal that fighting stop immediately. "We affected most of the infrastructure of terrorism in Gaza Strip, and the question of whether it's enough or not will be according to our assessment on a daily basis." 

Israel's deaf ear to Sarkozy's plea has raised the diplomatic stakes involved. Although the French President's trip to Egypt, Syria and Lebanon had been set long ago, stops in Ramallah and Jerusalem have been added to discuss "possible paths to peace" with various leaders. .....

Given the absence of the U.S.'s traditional lead role in the region until President-elect Barack Obama takes office, Sarkozy finds himself with a rare opportunity to wade into a Middle East crisis as the main diplomatic player. The Elysée hopes Sarkozy's visit to Ramallah to meet with Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas can help reverse Abbas' increasing marginalization and make him an active partner in hammering out a truce. But the main event of Sarkozy's peacemaking foray will more likely be in Damascus, where he will meet with Syrian President Bashar Assad on Tuesday. Sarkozy's recent rapprochement with Syria, the regional player with the most influence over Hamas, means that the French President may have more diplomatic leverage than many of his Western counterparts.

Sarkozy ended Assad's long stint of international isolation by making Syria a founding member of the newly formed Mediterranean Union. Although Sarkozy faced heated criticism in July for embracing Assad — who is denounced by human rights activists and widely accused of orchestrating the 2005 assassination of Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri — the French President has defended the move as realpolitik designed to turn an enemy into an ally. That argument will now be put to the test. Sarkozy is expected to press Assad to help find an end to the Gaza bloodshed — notably by pressuring Hamas to fulfill Israeli demands that it stop firing rockets. Damascus-based Hamas leader Khaled Meshal seems willing to accept that condition in exchange for Israel's reopening border crossings that have economically asphyxiated Gaza — an issue that could eventually force a change in Egypt's closure of its frontier...."

1 comment:

Warning Senior Founding Member of the FLC said...

Israel's increased isolation shows that it cannot survive on its own. In the other piece on this blog, it is clear that Natanyahu is trying to cut a deal with the Obama Administration. No matter how much AIPAC can press Congress to oppose Obama's goal of ending the stalemate in the region, Obama has made it clear that the US will make sure that Israel's security is safe, but not its expansionist policies at the expense of US strategic interests in the world, and especially among Arab and Muslim states.
Sarkozy is a good friend of Israel and is singing to the tune of the Obama's orientation. If Israel continues to be tone deaf to the real and strategic changes taking place, it will make its survival even a harder proposition to defend.